Subject: EEE会議（北朝鮮の核開発計画）
Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 11:43:42 +0900
From: "金子　熊夫" <kkaneko@eagle.ocn.ne.jp>

各位

北朝鮮核問題に関連にて、昨年夏米国が「北」の濃縮ウランによる核兵器開発計画を
掴んでいながら、日本に対しては１ヶ月近くも通報しなかったことの背景や政治的、
軍事的意味が今問われていますが、この点に関し、米国の一流紙"The New Yorker"が
Seymour Hersh(ベトナム戦争報道でピューリッツァー賞を受賞した著名ジャーナリス
ト）の論文を掲載しています。この論文では、「北」がどこからその技術を入手した
か（ミサイルと交換でパキスタンからというのが定説ですが）、クリントン、ブッ
シュ政権はどれだけ情報を掴んでいたか、等々の問題点についても詳しく分析してい
ますが、とくに日米関係へのインプリケーションについては、概ね次のとおり述べて
います。ご参考まで。なお、同論文全体は、次のサイトでどうぞ。
http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?030127fa_fact　

金子熊夫

*********************************************

＜The New Yorker（２月２７日号）からの抜粋＞

The C.I.A. report remained unpublicized throughout the summer and
early fall, as the Administration concentrated on laying the
groundwork for a war with Iraq. Many officials in the Administration's
own arms-control offices were unaware of the report. "It was held
very tightly," an official told me. "Compartmentalization is used to
protect sensitive sources who can get killed if their information is
made known, but it's also used for controlling sensitive information
for political reasons."

One American nonproliferation expert said that, given the findings in
the June report, he was dismayed that the Administration had not
made the information available. "It's important to convey to the
American people that the North Korean situation presented us with
an enormous military and political crisis," he said. "This goes to the
heart of North Asian security, to the future of Japan and South
Korea, and to the future of the broader issue of nonproliferation."

A Japanese diplomat who has been closely involved in Korean
affairs defended the Bush Administration's delay in publicly dealing
with the crisis. Referring to the report, he said, "If the intelligence
assessment was correct, you have to think of the implications.
Disclosure of information is not always instant. You need some
time to assess the content." He added, "To have a dialogue, you
really have to find the right time and the right conditions. So far,
President Bush has done the right thing, from our perspective."
＜中略＞
One American intelligence official who has attended recent White
House meetings cautioned against relying on the day-to-day
Administration statements that emphasize a quick settlement of the
dispute. The public talk of compromise is being matched by much
private talk of high-level vindication. "Bush and Cheney want that
guy's head"--Kim Jong Il's--"on a platter. Don't be distracted by all
this talk about negotiations. There will be negotiations, but they
have a plan, and they are going to get this guy after Iraq. He's their
version of Hitler."
[End Quote]