050330  核不拡散体制を守るために: カーター元大統領の訴え
 
カーター元大統領は若き日に、海軍兵学校を卒業した後、米海軍原潜の生みの親と謳われるリコーヴァー少将の下で原子力の研究開発に携わった経験があるだけに、歴代大統領の中で原子力に最も深い理解を持っており、1977年の大統領就任と同時に厳しい核不拡散政策を打ち出し、その結果日本との間で東海再処理工場の運転問題等を巡って激しく対立したり、画期的な「国際核燃料サイクル評価」(INFCE)を自ら提唱して核不拡散体制の強化に指導力を発揮しました。その後政治の第一線を退いた後も、1994年には一触即発の危機にあった北朝鮮を訪問し、金日成との間で「北朝鮮が核開発を放棄する代わりに100万KW級軽水炉2基を供与する」という大胆な妥協案で危機回避に成功した、というように核・原子力問題ではしばしば重要な役割を果たしてきましたが、5月2日からの第7回NPT再検討会議を前に、現状の厳しさを切々と訴える論文をWasgington Postに発表しました。
 
この論文の中で、カーター氏は、イランや北朝鮮が新たに核兵器国の仲間入りしようとし、NPT体制はいまだかつてない危機状況に立たされているにもかかわらず、米国その他の核兵器国はこの状況にあまりにも無関心であり、このままでは大々的な核拡散が起こりかねないだろう、特に問題なのは、米国等はこれまでの再検討会議で約束した核軍縮義務の履行を放棄したのみならず、新型核爆弾(ミニ核兵器や地中貫通型爆弾=バンカーバスターなど)の開発を図っており、さらに「核の先制使用」の構えすら見せていることだ、うんうんと述べています。このような状況を是正するために、米国は率先して、他の核兵器国と協力して一層の核軍縮を進めるべきこと、とくにロシアの解体核の管理を徹底すべきこと、核の先制不使用宣言を行うべきこと、NATOでは未だに核兵器の即発体制を維持しているが早急にこれを止めるべきこと、中東の核不拡散体制を急ぐべきこと等々の一連の政策提言を行っています。これらの提言は取り立てて新味はなく、しかもブッシュ政権の立場とは全く相容れないものですが、元大統領の現状に対する深い憂慮と真摯な気持ちは十分にじみ出ていると思います。ご参考まで。
--KK
 
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Saving Nonproliferation

By Jimmy Carter
Monday, March 28, 2005; Page A17

Renewal talks for the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) are scheduled for May, yet the United States and other nuclear powers seem indifferent to its fate. This is remarkable, considering the addition of Iran and North Korea as states that either possess or seek nuclear weapons programs. A recent United Nations report warned starkly: "We are approaching a point at which the erosion of the non-proliferation regime could become irreversible and result in a cascade of proliferation."

A group of "Middle States" has a simple goal: "To exert leverage on the nuclear powers to take some minimum steps to save the non-proliferation treaty in 2005." Last year this coalition of nuclear-capable states -- including Brazil, Egypt, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, South Africa, Sweden and eight NATO members -- voted for a new agenda resolution calling for implementing NPT commitments already made. Tragically, the United States, Britain and France voted against this resolution.

So far the preparatory committee for the forthcoming NPT talks has failed even to achieve an agenda because of the deep divisions between nuclear powers that refuse to meet their own disarmament commitments and the nonnuclear movement, whose demands include honoring these pledges and considering the Israeli arsenal.

Until recently all American presidents since Dwight Eisenhower had striven to restrict and reduce nuclear arsenals -- some more than others. So far as I know, there are no present efforts by any of the nuclear powers to accomplish these crucial goals.

The United States is the major culprit in this erosion of the NPT. While claiming to be protecting the world from proliferation threats in Iraq, Libya, Iran and North Korea, American leaders not only have abandoned existing treaty restraints but also have asserted plans to test and develop new weapons, including anti-ballistic missiles, the earth-penetrating "bunker buster" and perhaps some new "small" bombs. They also have abandoned past pledges and now threaten first use of nuclear weapons against nonnuclear states.

Some corrective actions are obvious:

? The United States needs to address remaining nuclear issues with Russia, demanding the same standards of transparency and verification of past arms control agreements and dismantling and disposal of decommissioned weapons. With massive arsenals still on hair-trigger alert status, a global holocaust is just as possible now, through mistakes or misjudgments, as it was during the depths of the Cold War. We could address perhaps the world's greatest proliferation threat by fully securing Russia's stockpiles.

? While all nuclear weapons states should agree to non-first use, the United States, as the sole superpower, should take the lead on this issue.

? NATO needs to de-emphasize the role of its nuclear weapons and consider an end to their deployment in Western Europe. Despite its eastward expansion, NATO is keeping the same stockpiles and policies as when the Iron Curtain divided the continent.

? The comprehensive test ban treaty should be honored, but the United States is moving in the opposite direction. The administration's 2005 budget refers for the first time to a list of test scenarios, and other nations are waiting to take the same action.

? The United States should support a fissile materials treaty to prevent the creation and transport of highly enriched uranium and plutonium.

? Curtail U.S. development of the infeasible missile defense shield, which is wasting huge resources, while breaking our commitment to the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty without a working substitute.

? Act on nuclear proliferation in the Middle East, an increasing source of instability in that region. Iran has repeatedly hidden its intentions to enrich uranium while claiming that its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes only. This explanation has been given before, by India, Pakistan and North Korea, and has led to weapons programs in all three states. Iran must be called to account and held to its promises under the Non-Proliferation Treaty. At the same time, we fail to acknowledge how Israel's nuclear status entices Iran, Syria, Egypt and other states to join the community of nuclear weapons states.

These are vital questions, and the world will know the answers during the NPT conference in May.

Former president Carter is founder of the Carter Center in Atlanta.